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Do Not Read This Book

This book ruined my ability to enjoy watching soccer.

Ok, that’s not literally true. I still enjoy watching soccer as much as I did before, but it definitely ruined any chance of me following soccer as a sport. It turns out, shockingly, that the overall outcomes are largely predictable, at least to a level of confidence that makes being a fan hard to imagine. Of course, if you’re a fan of statistics and possibly money, and of failed businesses that won’t die, and even of sports gossip, the it’s a great book. Also, I learned to love multiple regression.

And definitely don’t but into this fallacy.

It may be true of the commentary, but not of the game. The numbers generated are hardly random.

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